Seasonally adjusted unemployment rates for all Utah counties have been posted online here.
Each month, these rates are posted the Monday following the Unemployment Rate Update for Utah.
For more information about seasonally adjusted rates, read a DWS analysis here.
Next update scheduled for March 26th.
A product of the Workforce Research and Analysis Division of the Utah Department of Workforce Services
Showing posts with label Economist--Matt Schroeder. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economist--Matt Schroeder. Show all posts
Monday, March 5, 2018
Monday, January 29, 2018
Ten Years Later:
Differing patters of recession and recovery in Bear River
December 2017 marked 10 years since the Great Recession
first cast its long shadow across the American economy. The recession
officially lasted 18 months, but its consequences can still be seen across the
country without having to look very hard. We have not had another recession
since.
Utah was hit hard at the time, losing a larger share of jobs
than the national average; but, we were fortunate to be one of the most
resilient states in terms of economic rebound. There are plenty of states where
the Great Recession continues to weigh upon them. Employment levels in 14
states are still not back to their pre-recession peak, and another 29 states
have only grown 5.0 percent or less. As the working-age population has grown by
more than 5.0 percent, the job gains nationally have not been enough to fully
employ working-age labor.
Utah lost 7.0 percent employment during the recession. Since
that low, employment has recovered by 18 percent. That is the second best
rebound in the nation. From Utah’s pre-recession employment peak to now, Utah’s
employment has increased by 9.5 percent, third best in the nation. Yet, Utah’s
job growth has not been enough to absorb all of the labor force growth during
that time. Utah’s unemployment rate is low, but the percent of the working-age
population in the labor force is several percentage points below the
pre-recession norm — telling us that potential labor is still not as fully
engaged with the job market as before the recession.
As a whole, Utah has had a notable recession rebound, but
those gains have not been shared equally across all regions. Just like the
national profile, some areas have bounced back strong while others are still
lagging behind. The state’s metropolitan areas have grown well, but many of
Utah’s rural areas cannot say the same. Nine counties have employment levels
below their pre-recession peaks.
In this issue of Local Insights, we profile Utah’s regional
and county economies in light of the 10-year span since the Great Recession.
Bear River Region
Although the three northernmost counties in Utah (Cache, Box
Elder and Rich) are often viewed as a single region, the reality is they each
have distinct economies and experienced differing recessionary impacts and recoveries.
For instance, Box Elder County is reliant on the manufacturing sector, which
was hit hard during the recession. Rich County is highly subject to swings in
tourism spending, which is among the first things consumers pull back on when
money is tight. Cache County, on the other hand, has a more diverse economy and
recession-resilient industries (like education) that help to mitigate the
severity of economic downturns.
Box Elder County
Just prior to the recession in 2008, the manufacturing
sector accounted for nearly 40 percent of Box Elder County’s total employment —
or about 8,100 workers. By 2012, that number had been slashed to around 4,500.
Layoffs at ATK Launch Systems and the La-Z-Boy closure slashed deep into the region’s
economic tissue. Although the initial ATK cuts were the end of NASA’s shuttle
program and not a direct result of recessionary pressures, the recession did
put budgetary constraints on the federal government leading to less money for
NASA and other types of contracts that might have kept ATK at higher employment
levels. In addition, the recession meant virtually no other jobs were available
and many people left the area. Net migration turned outward with about 500
leaving each year in 2011 and 2012.
Box Elder is only now getting back to its pre-recession employment
level of about 21,000. The good news is that since it turned the corner in
2013, growth has been robust — averaging more than 5.0 percent annually. Manufacturing
is still the primary driver of new growth; but within manufacturing, the
products being produced are more diverse. Motor vehicle parts, food and
fabricated metals now make up larger shares of manufacturing employment.
In addition to manufacturing’s resurgence and
diversification, other industries have begun to rise in economic importance
adding to the economy’s overall diversity and future recessionary resilience. For
example, health care services did not even dip during the recession and has
been on the rise since. Prior to the recession, heath care was about 6.0
percent of employment. Now it is up to 9.0 percent.
Rich County
Rich County lost about 150 jobs during the last recession — nearly
27 percent of its average employment. Only Piute County lost a larger
employment share. Tourism is the key to Rich County’s economy; and during
recessions, travel and recreation are among the first luxuries cut to pinch
pennies. Traveler accommodations alone shed more than half of its employment between
2007 and 2012 (from 90 to nearly 40).
Construction took a significant hit as well, shedding about
90 jobs over the same period. Most of the losses were in residential
construction with fewer vacation and retirement homes being built. In 2007,
there were 43 single-family homes permitted in Rich County. By 2012, that
number had dropped to just four.
Rich County’s recovery since late 2012 does not appear to be
driven by tourism spending. Some moderate growth in restaurants indicates
improvement in visitor spending, but the accommodations industry has basically
plateaued since the recession’s end. New single-family home construction is again
on the rise but has yet to return to pre-recession levels. Most of the recovery
growth is local business services, such as repair and maintenance, and building
services. Retail sales employment in lawn and garden, and building materials is
also a significant contributor to the recovery — indicating that local demand is
currently keeping Rich County on its growth trajectory. This is encouraging as
it suggests a shift away from tourism dependence and leaves room for even more
growth once travel spending resumes.
Cache County
Cache County did not contract nearly to the extent of Utah’s
other counties during the recession. It lost less than 800 jobs and contracted
only 1.6 percent. The downturn was short-lived too. The economy started expanding
again in early 2010, and regained its pre-recession employment by mid-2012 when
Box Elder and Rich counties were just bottoming out.
In Cache County there is no single sector that dominates the
local economy the way manufacturing does in Box Elder County. Manufacturing is
Cache County’s largest sector and comprises 19 percent of total employment.
And, most of Cache County’s manufacturing employment is in food manufacturing (especially
dairy and beef), which is highly recession-resilient. During recessions demand
falls for many nonessential goods and services; but core food products, such as
milk and meat, tend to hold steady. In fact, during the recession, employment
in both dairy and beef manufacturing actually grew and helped prop up Cache’s
economy.
Utah State University provided a similar stabilizing effect.
The university is the region’s core economic engine, accounting for about 12
percent of employment. Like food manufacturing, education services are not
prone to major recessionary setbacks. Historically, enrollment actually
increases when unemployment is high as more people who find themselves idle
choose to invest in education.
Cache County’s recovery has been steady and shared across
most industrial sectors. Growth at the university and the human and
intellectual capital it produces boost the vibrancy of other industries, as well.
Professional, scientific and technical services have been expanding employment;
as have medical services and even manufacturing industries, like chemical and
computer and electronic products. Such industry diversification will further
strengthen Cache County and its ability to weather the next recessionary
downturn.
Thursday, July 27, 2017
The New Retail Workforce:
How Online Sales are Changing Retail Jobs in Northern Utah.
Consumer spending makes up around 68 percent of the nation’s
gross domestic product. Consumer spending is individuals and families
purchasing groceries, clothing, recreation, stocks, insurance, education and
much more. The transactions cover a broad swath of economic activity.
Much of the nation’s consumer spending is captured via
retail trade. A useful retail trade definition is “the re-sale (sale without transformation) of new and used goods to the general public, for personal or household consumption or utilization.” Not all consumer spending is captured through retail trade transactions,
but a large share is.
Broad-category examples of retail trade sectors are motor
vehicle sales, furniture stores, electronic stores, building material stores,
grocery stores, pharmacies, gas stations, clothing stores and department
stores, among others.
Then there is the relatively new and emerging part of the
retail trade sphere — non-store retailers. These are establishments that sell
products on the Internet. Examples include Amazon, Zappos, Overstock.com, or
eBay. These types of retailers have grown rapidly in the past 15 years and
their presence is reshaping the retail trade landscape.
Whereas in the past nearly all retail transactions were done
through traditional brick-and-mortar stores, now a significant and growing
segment is diverted to internet sales. The consumer shops online and FedEx (or
like) delivers the product. One can see that the number of brick-and-mortar
stores and the level of local sales across the country are being endangered by
this economic evolution.
The brick-and-mortar reduction is beginning to show its
economic presence in the United States employment numbers. While the U.S.
economy is finally expanding at a healthy pace this side of the Great
Recession, one of the few industries not rising with this tide is retail trade.
While overall retail sales are increasing, employment is not.
Traditionally, as a population increases, retail trade
employment grows simultaneously, since population growth and consumer spending
volume is an integrated dynamic. If studied deeply, a certain ratio of retail trade
employment growth spawned from population growth would emerge. Before the
internet, the vast majority of all consumer sales occurred in the immediate
community or region. But now, the internet is diverting these sales away from
the local community — and with internet sales growing, its market share will
increase.
We do not yet know how much brick-and-mortar erosion will
eventually occur. And will such a phenomenon hit some areas more than others
(e.g., urban vs. rural, or local vs. tourist spending)? These are touch points
that economists will be watching as this internet sales phenomenon continues to
grow within the national and Utah economies.
In light of this change, in this quarter’s Local Insights we
are profiling retail trade employment throughout Utah’s local regions. This can
offer a profile of where retail trade is now in a local economy, and possibly
how much of the sector could become vulnerable to the internet-sales
phenomenon.
All regions can be viewed through the Local Insights
web
portal. The following is a retail trade profile for the Bear River region:
Retail Matters in the Bear River Region
The retail trade industry is an important economic driver in
Bear River. It employs more than 8,000 people in the region —almost 11 percent
of total nonfarm employment. In Box Elder County, retail trade is the third
largest industry, behind only manufacturing and health care. In Cache County,
it is the fourth largest. Retail sales account for about 51 percent of total
taxable sales in the region — very similar to the 52 percent statewide average.
The Rise of Online Retail
Due to consumers making more and more purchases online, the
demand for brick-and-mortar retail workers in the region has been softening.
Overall, employment in Bear River has been growing at a rate of about 2.4
percent on average since the recovery noticeably began in 2012; but in
traditional retail, employment growth has been averaging just 1.4 percent. In
the five years prior to the recession (and before online retail really took off),
traditional retail employment was clipping along at a much quicker average
growth rate of 2.6 percent growth.
Non-store retail, on the other hand, has been booming in the
region. With the growth of online retailers, like Malouf Linens and Jensen
Online Books in Cache County, employment in non-store retail has grown an
average of 16 percent annually since 2012. The share of total employment
represented by non-store retail has increased 105 percent over that time. The
next highest employment share expansion in retail was in the motor vehicles
category, which increased its share by a paltry 19 percent in comparison. Most
other retail categories saw a decline in their share of total employment.
Non-store Taxable Sales Are Also Gaining, But Not as Fast as
Employment. Why?
Taxable sales in non-store retail have not gained as a share
of total taxable sales as quickly as the employment share. This is primarily
because sales taxes are collected by the state of the purchaser, and then, only
if the seller has a physical presence in that state. This means that when
Malouf sells a pillow to someone outside of Utah, there is money coming into
Utah (in terms of the jobs that the sale supports) but there is no sales tax
coming in to Utah. The only non-store sales taxes captured in Utah are Utah
consumers purchasing goods from retailers with a presence in Utah. Since a
large share of sales by local online retailers are to customers in other
states, it means that sales tax revenue lags compared to employment growth in
the industry.
An Aging Retail Workforce
Interestingly, the jobs in retail are not primarily younger
workers as one might expect. In fact, about 70 percent of the region’s retail
jobs are people 25 and older, and approximately 45 percent are at least 35.
There used to be more young workers in the industry. Prior to the recession in
2007, the share of 35 and older retail workers in the Bear River Region was
only 38 percent.
During the Great Recession, the share of teenagers working
in retail plummeted from 9 percent to 4.5 percent and has remained low ever
since. The reduced youth base means there are fewer workers who stay on and age
into the older categories.
A Less Educated Retail Workforce
At the same time, the share of retail workers with less than
a high school education has increased significantly. This has been primarily at
the expense of individuals for whom educational attainment data are not
available (i.e., workers under the age of 24 — mostly students). Since 2007,
the share of workers with less than a high school education in Utah retail has
increased by more than 25 percent.
This does not appear to be an actual increase in less
educated workers. Rather, the drop in workers under 24-years-old is causing a
share increase for the existing less educated workers. As a result, the retail
workforce in Bear River (and in Utah in general) is trending toward an older
and less educated demographic.
What is Driving This Trend?
This is likely the result of young people choosing to take
jobs in other industries with better pay, as wages in retail have lagged. Or
they may be opting to finance their education rather than work while attending
school. But some portion of this shift is also being driven by the structural
changes taking place in retail due to increasing online sales.
The Occupational Shift
The transition to non-store retail translates to shifting
demand for a different set of occupations required by non-store retail
operations. Traditional brick-and-mortar retail stores primarily need people to
work on the sales floor, such as retail sales workers and cashiers. Those two
occupations alone represent about 45 percent of all employees in traditional
retail. In non-store retail, on the other hand, the top two occupations are
customer service reps and shipping/receiving clerks. Freight and inventory
movers, order clerks/fillers, and truck drivers all play a much more prominent
role in non-store retail as well.
Generally speaking, these kinds of jobs tend to require more
time commitment than the most demanded traditional retail jobs. According to the
Conference Board’s Help Wanted Online® product (analyzes online job postings),
about 40 percent of job openings for cashiers and retail sales workers (the top
jobs for traditional retail) posted in Utah in the second quarter of 2017 were
part-time jobs. Only 20 percent of job postings for customer service reps and
shipping/receiving clerks (the top jobs for non-store retail) were part-time.
Positions that require more time commitment and more fixed schedules are likely
to be less attractive to young people — especially students — who may be
looking for opportunities that are less time consuming.
The Geographic Shift
In addition, there is a geographic component to this
transition. Traditional retailers tend to have many more locations spread out
geographically, making them more likely to have that cover a broader footprint
within the labor force. Online retailers, however, are generally centralized in
large warehouses, distribution centers, and office buildings that runs counter
to the disperse spread of traditional brick-and-mortar. As a result, it may be
harder for workers — especially younger workers — to get to and from these
jobs.
What It All Means
These structural changes are having a profound effect on the
retail workforce, and we can reasonably expect the resulting trends to continue
for some time. As new technologies and retail processes emerge, there will
doubtless be more shifts in this rapidly evolving sector. But for now, in the
Bear River region, we can expect fewer traditional brick-and-mortar retail
jobs, more non-store retail jobs, and an increasing share of retail employment
opportunities that may be challenging for our young population to access.
Check Out the Viz
If you are interested in the details, the data visualization
below breaks out the various retail categories and allows you to compare sales
(as a share of total taxable sales) and employment (as a share of total nonfarm
employment) in each category (by county) over time. The relative changes in
taxable sales compared to employment are telling in relation to some of these
structural changes, although direct links are difficult to establish as there
are many other confounding factors. The tables at the bottom give the actual
sales and employment levels, summed-up for whatever you have selected in the
county and retail category filters.
Thursday, May 4, 2017
Census Bureau Tool Provides Labor-Force Insight for Bear River
Across the United States, jobs are quantified through each
state’s unemployment insurance program. Those programs provide the potential
for laid-off workers to receive unemployment benefits — the goal being to
bridge the gap between workers’ lost jobs and their next jobs. An eligible
recipient’s weekly benefit amount is based upon their earnings from recent
work. This begs the question, how does Utah’s unemployment insurance program
know how much an individual recently earned while working?
That answer is supplied by all businesses that hire workers,
as they must report their employees and pay as mandated by the unemployment
insurance laws. Companies identify their individual workers and those workers’
monetary earnings for a calendar quarter. As businesses are identified by their
industrial activity and geographic location, it is through the unemployment
insurance program that aggregate employment counts by industry and location are
calculated.
Yet each state’s profiling of individuals is quite minimal
in the unemployment insurance program. The U.S. Census Bureau can bring more
light to the overall labor force by supplementing said information with gender,
age, race/ethnicity and educational attainment (imputed from American
Community Survey responses) for Utah’s labor force.
The Census Bureau packages this information through their
Local Employment Dynamics program and makes available said data on its website. Here at the Department of Workforce
Services, we recently downloaded and packaged Utah-specific data from said
website and summarized it in the attached visualization.
Various data “tabs” are available, presenting Utah’s economy
from different angles, ranging from industry shares within the economy to the
age-group distributions of the labor force, to gender and race distributions.
These labor variables can be viewed for the state as a whole, or by each individual
county.
Some statewide highlights:
Industry — industrial distribution is quite diverse, which
provides strength within the economy. Distributions do fluctuate with time,
with manufacturing seeing its share lessen while health care and professional
and business services shares have increased.
Age — the bulk of Utah’s labor force is composed of 25- to
44-year-olds. Older worker shares have increased over the past 15 years, yet
still remain a non-dominant portion of Utah’s labor force. The youngest segments
of the labor force declined noticeably during the Great Recession due to less
participation, and that trend remains.
Educational Attainment — turnover rates are understandably
highest with workers under the age of 25 as they strive to build their educational
foundation and also find their niche in the labor market. A trend does stand
out where the more education that a worker attains, the lower the turnover rate
businesses experience from said educational classes.
Race/Ethnicity — Whites account for around 80 percent of
Utah’s labor force. The Asian community is small but slowly increasing in
share, and is also characterized with the lowest turnover rate and the highest
new-hire wages.
Gender — males comprise about 55 percent of Utah’s labor
force. The female share of 45 percent is higher than the national average.
Roughly 35 percent of working females work part-time compared to 15 percent for
males. Therefore, female new-hire wages are considerably lower than male
new-hire wages. (Note: employer reporting into the unemployment insurance
system is not hourly wage rate reporting but instead total calendar quarter
wages paid. Therefore, calculations can only be made upon total quarterly
wages, and part-time employment weakens this measure).
As for the various counties in the Bear River region, here
are some labor highlights:
Cache County –
People are often surprised to learn that manufacturing is
the largest sector in Cache County. With Utah State University in Logan, it is
often assumed that education would dominate, but in fact manufacturing composes
about 21 percent of employment while education is about 13 percent. Food product
manufacturing is the largest sub-industry with nearly 4,000 employees
represented by companies like E.A. Miller, Gossner, and Schreiber.
Health care/social services is the only sector that has
substantially increased its share of employment over the last 15 years (the
bump in manufacturing in 2006 was due to a classification change from professional/business
services). Since 2000, the share of employment in health care/social services
has almost doubled from around 6 percent to nearly 11 percent – that’s an
increase of 2,300 jobs. Growth in this sector has been shared across ambulatory
health care as well as hospitals, but the fastest growth has been in residential
intellectual and developmental disability facilities.
Box Elder County –
Manufacturing is an even bigger driver of the economy in Box
Elder County than it is in Cache County. Despite an employment share that has
declined from 46 percent to 29 percent over the last 15 years, it is still by
far the most dominant sector. Over the years, job losses at ATK, and La-Z-Boy
among others, have resulted in the declining share of manufacturing jobs; but
overall, manufacturing employment has been rebounding since the end of the
recession and is back up to nearly 6,000. Autoliv, Thiokol, West Liberty Foods,
and Nucor Steel are just few examples of major manufacturing employers in Box
Elder County.
Like the rest of Northern Utah, the health care/social services
sector in Box Elder has seen notable gains in its employment share over the
last 15 years. Individual and family social assistance services in particular
have grown quickly — more than 100 new jobs just in the last four years.
Rich County –
Not surprisingly, leisure/hospitality services is the
dominant sector in Rich County with about 26 percent of employment, which has remained
relatively consistent across the last 15 years. In that same time, the education
sector has declined from around 20 percent to around 14 percent. In fact, the
actual level of employment in education (which is primarily public schools in
Rich County) has fallen from about 120 in 2000 to about 100 in 2015. Meanwhile,
public administration has gained about 20 jobs over the same period, so its
share has increased to nearly 10 percent.
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Show Me the Economy - Occupational Projections for Cache County, Utah
The biennial update to Utah's occupational projections have been released and can be found here: http://www.jobs.utah.gov/wi/pubs/outlooks/state/index.html. But first. check out these highlights:
Cache County Highlights
Matt
Schroeder, Regional Economist
The
projected occupational growth rate in Cache County is slightly below the rest
of the state on average at 2.3 percent annually through 2024. Utah statewide
projected growth is 2.7 percent. The 2,530 projected annual openings in Cache
County from 2014 to 2024 represent about 4 percent of all projected openings in
the state.
The occupations
with the highest growth expectations are, on average, those that require the
most education. Jobs that typically require a doctoral or professional degree
are projected to grow 2.7 percent annually through 2024. Growth in openings for
physicians, physical therapists and psychologists are driving this trend.
Expectations
for healthcare practitioners and healthcare support occupations in Cache County
are worth highlighting. The healthcare industry is supplying large numbers of
annual openings and is expected to grow at more than 3 percent every year over
the next eight years. Registered nurses have the strongest demand outlook among
healthcare jobs, with expected growth of 3.7 percent or about 40 openings a
year, and they earn median wages of nearly $58K per year. Nursing, medical and
dental assistants are also expected to be in demand with about 60 openings per
year combined. These jobs offer median wages between $22K and $28K per year,
but require less education.
After
registered nurses, perhaps the most noteworthy occupations in terms of expected
demand and wages are applications software developers, mechanical engineers and
accountants/auditors. Jobs such as these in the areas of business/finance,
engineering and information technology, tend to offer high wages for the level
of education required and consistently exhibit a strong growth outlook. Application
software engineers are projected to grow by about 3.2 percent or 20 openings
per year in Cache County. They typically require a bachelor’s degree and earn
median wages of $69K per year. Similarly, accountants and auditors are
projected to grow by about 3.2 percent or 20 openings annually and earn median
wages of $55K per year.
There are
many other occupations in the region that are projected to offer excellent
opportunities as well — electrical engineers, mechanical engineers, engineering
techs, cement masons and concrete finishers, environmental science techs, and
management analysts just to name a few. You can learn more about these
occupations and others through the Utah Occupational Explorer
where you can explore and compare occupations of interest in detail by region,
wage level, typical education required, projected growth, and demand. Before
digging into the details though, take a look at the interactive data visualization above to see the big picture of the occupational outlook for Cache County.
About Utah's Occupational Projections
While a Utah
statewide profile leads the way, Utah’s local economies are not homogenous;
therefore, nine Utah subregions are also profiled. Due to confidentiality
restraints and statistical reliability, the amount of occupations available
will diminish the smaller a subregion; but, occupations comprising the backbone
of a regional economy will be available.
About Utah's Occupational Projections
Mark Knold,
Supervising Economist
“The
government knows everything about everyone.”
Fortunately,
that statement is not true. Yet society still looks to the government to
provide answers to comprehensive and complex questions that have their
foundation within individual decisions and activities. One subject frequently
directed toward the government is individual-level information about the
economy — particularly, what occupations are in demand, what occupations pay well
and have lucrative outlooks, and ultimately, what occupation(s) should I build
my career upon?
It takes the
accumulation of a wide array of individual information to answer these
questions. Employers provide the foundation information about the occupations
they employ. Jobs are held by individuals, but employers provide the profile
information about the job itself, not any particular individual.
Since
society desires to profile such a broad spectrum of the economy — occupational
profiles and the occupational distribution within the economy — only government
is in the unique position to collect, analyze and provide answers for said
desire. Yet, no government program or regulatory agency mandates any
comprehensive occupational reporting from individuals or businesses. Therefore,
government attempts to fill the void with an ongoing, robust and voluntary
survey of employers — a survey where employers are asked to provide details
about their various occupations, including descriptions, quantities,
wages/salaries and location. Through this survey emerges an occupational
portrait of an economy.
The U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) structures and funds the survey, yet the
individual states conduct the survey. Under BLS administration, all states use
the same methodology; therefore, occupational profiles are comparable across
states.
Through this
survey, analysts discover how industries are populated with various
occupations. Accountant is an occupation, yet accountants can be found across
many different industries. Other occupations may be more exclusive to certain
industries; for example, doctors are largely found only in the healthcare
industry. One of the survey’s products is that industries can be profiled with
their general mix of occupations. This is called an industry’s occupational
staffing pattern.
This brings
us back to the original questions: what occupations are in demand, what
occupations pay well and have lucrative outlooks, and ultimately, what
occupation(s) should I build my career upon?
The
foundation is to make informed forecasts about how industries will
expand/contract over the next 10 years. By applying existing occupational
staffing patterns to each industry’s projected change, a trained economic
analyst can then make an extrapolation about how occupations will
correspondingly increase/decrease. Knowledgeable analyst judgment further
refines the occupational expectations, such as knowing an occupation will grow
faster than in the past, with the result being a set of occupational projections
that accumulate to profile a state or regional economy.
A new set of
occupational projections are done every two years to keep the information fresh
even though economies do not change dramatically in short order. Because of
slow change, updated occupational projects generally continue the overall
message of preceding occupational projections. But economies do modify with
time, and therefore, subtle changes will arise with each new set of
occupational projections.
Utah’s most
recent occupational projections are found here: http://www.jobs.utah.gov/wi/pubs/outlooks/state/index.html.
These projections look forward to the year 2024.
The
occupational profile is structured from the general to the detailed, mimicking
the structure of a family tree. First, broad occupational categories are
defined, such as management or healthcare occupations; then, subcategories are
defined; and finally, individual occupations are defined. Individual occupations
are the heart of the occupational projections. But overall patterns and
characteristics do emerge when observing the broader categories.
Wednesday, April 20, 2016
Your area’s labor market information is “OnTheMap”
The Census Bureau’s online mapping tool provides a wealth of
location-specific labor market information
“If you want to put yourself on the map,
publish your own map.” Ashleigh Brilliant
This isn’t your same old blog
post about data. Instead of analyzing and sharing data, this post covers how to
access an extremely useful “big data” labor market information tool. What is
this tool? The U.S. Census Bureau’s OnTheMap web-based mapping and reporting
application.
What’s so great about
OnTheMap? Typically, we report labor market information at the state and county
level. Local-level data is harder to come by. Along with the ability to provide
labor market profiles of small and large nonstandard areas, OnTheMap
graphically demonstrates where people work and where workers live. Users can
define their own geographies and obtain data and maps at the census-block level
of detail. This flexibility can quickly provide information for emergency and
transportation planning, site location and economic development.
- Do you want to understand commuting patterns for a particular area? OnTheMap can generate maps of outflow and inflow.
- Do you want to know the basic characteristics of workers in your town? OnTheMap has that information.
- Do you want to identify the employment characteristics along a specific stretch of highway? OnTheMap can deliver that data.
- Do you want to discern how many workers live within a 50-mile radius of a particular site? OnTheMap delivers.
Where does this data come
from? OnTheMap combines federal and state administrative data on workers and
employees with Census Bureau census and survey data. Don’t worry. Using
state-of-the-art methods, the Census Bureau is committed to protecting the
confidentiality of business and personal information.
Where People Work
Let’s run through a few
examples of how OnTheMap outputs can help you understand your local economy. Suppose
the Logan City Council wants to know where the residents of their town work.
OnTheMap indicates more than half of the city’s working residents are employed in
cities other than Logan.
Next, the mayor wants to know
how many workers travel into Logan for employment. OnTheMap suggests that far more
workers commute in than out of Logan. In-commuters are most likely to drive
from Smithfield.
Labor Market Characteristics
Now, these local government
officials have decided they would like to know the characteristics of those
folks that work or live in Logan. OnTheMap can provide age-group, earnings,
industry, race/ethnicity, gender and educational attainment information. For
example, OnTheMap shows the following characteristics for working residents of
Logan:
- 40 percent are 29 years or younger
- One-fourth make more than $3,333 a month
- 21 percent work in manufacturing
- 1,982 are Latino
- 18 percent have at least a Bachelor’s degree
- 46 percent are female
Getting Specific
A company thinking of
locating to Logan is interested in the number (and characteristics) of workers
within a standard commuting distance of a particular worksite. Economic
development professionals can specify a particular radius and obtain a report.
Other shapes (donut and plume) are also available. In addition, users can draw
their own polygons in OnTheMap. To determine how many workers may be
inconvenienced by a road construction project, just draw a line along the
length of the project and “buffer” the selection.
You begin to see what a
valuable informational tool OnTheMap can be for planning and economic
development purposes.
OnTheMap is available here: http://onthemap.ces.census.gov
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